Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.674188 0.772541 0.879402 1.004020 1.145245 1.300214 1.483044
2025-01-19 0.509846 0.639280 0.792023 0.985124 1.222274 1.503534 1.861923
2025-01-26 0.419833 0.571757 0.765083 1.028024 1.375102 1.816211 2.417848
2025-02-02 0.356027 0.523458 0.751861 1.084018 1.552154 2.185389 3.103323
2025-02-09 0.293907 0.464477 0.712846 1.097289 1.672978 2.497589 3.761321
2025-02-16 0.242965 0.410961 0.670992 1.097553 1.773130 2.793078 4.437654
2025-02-23 0.203796 0.367433 0.635619 1.099976 1.874518 3.101778 5.174755
2025-03-02 0.171845 0.329145 0.601225 1.096817 1.964383 3.402063 5.936927
2025-03-09 0.149457 0.302939 0.582103 1.115079 2.090623 3.775148 6.864048
2025-03-16 0.127351 0.272713 0.550269 1.104696 2.163741 4.065547 7.685097
2025-03-23 0.113573 0.255937 0.540266 1.132378 2.308509 4.497466 8.806873
2025-03-30 0.097933 0.232144 0.512360 1.120319 2.375062 4.793196 9.712903
2025-04-06 0.086692 0.215962 0.497843 1.134317 2.497607 5.214916 10.921052
2025-04-13 0.073864 0.193543 0.466256 1.107351 2.532757 5.471284 11.839932
2025-04-20 0.067938 0.186345 0.467082 1.151358 2.724401 6.066152 13.514693
2025-04-27 0.063603 0.182228 0.474292 1.210994 2.958712 6.777833 15.517143
2025-05-04 0.057058 0.170970 0.462477 1.223947 3.089189 7.283412 17.139496
2025-05-11 0.050675 0.158753 0.446108 1.223069 3.187047 7.728709 18.681706
2025-05-18 0.045263 0.148084 0.431807 1.224984 3.291680 8.201278 20.339770
2025-05-25 0.040309 0.137647 0.416236 1.220983 3.380897 8.648283 21.989939
2025-06-01 0.036839 0.130997 0.409935 1.240861 3.533797 9.264182 24.108967
2025-06-08 0.032725 0.121324 0.393242 1.229154 3.602053 9.681734 25.795076
2025-06-15 0.030363 0.116950 0.391407 1.259633 3.788322 10.414633 28.342231